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Merlins Grab Bags fix

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  • Merlins Grab Bags fix

    In the last 2 merlins madness events I have bought a total of 32 grab bags. I bought 13 last night. In EVERY SINGLE 1 I only got 5 tokens. The description says there is a chance of more. According to my calculations that is less than 3%. So, 97% of them only contain 5 tokens.

    As you may have guessed, I am not full of happiness and joy. As I pain in gems for these, I would like come recompense.
    I am Mr Bob from 131.


  • #2
    No replies. Should have expected this. Well, I now know that you will only win the worst item in the description. So, for example, the massive army check currently on sale at 30gems, will probably only have 2*1.5mm might in T4 troops.
    Crestview roofing company


    • #3
      It's been going on for the past 1-2 years. At least it's not too late for you to realize this!


      • #4


        • #5
          Originally posted by Mr_Bob View Post
          In the last 2 merlins madness events I have bought a total of 32 grab bags. I bought 13 last night. In EVERY SINGLE 1 I only got 5 tokens. The description says there is a chance of more. According to my calculations that is less than 3%. So, 97% of them only contain 5 tokens.

          As you may have guessed, I am not full of happiness and joy. As I pain in gems for these, I would like come recompense.
          I am Mr Bob from 131.

          After buying 32 of these and winning the minimum number of tokens, you should know by now that when any chest or grab bag says that there is "a chance" to win anything, you should expect that "chance" to be .001% and more than likely less than that. I would imagine that while on the face it's pretty clear that we are getting taken when we buy anything that has a "chance" to win anything in this game, most importantly when these chests claim to have 5 times the chances to win something (5x.001% = .005%, lol), particularly when you have any expectation that you will actually win that amount or item advertised. Instead, the only way that I have found to even rationalize the purchase of any of these chests anymore (if I do) is to realize that you are going to win the lowest possible reward that they offer. It's a sale, when you buy that token bag you are paying for 2 tokens for less than buying them individually. If you happen to get 3 (or 5 if it's a good day) then you got lucky, but to expect to win anything close to the reward being advertised is just plain folly. If you had the gems to buy 32 of those grab bags you would have been much better off just getting the chest that has a specific number of tokens. That goes for anything that they sell here. I can understand that you might want to try your luck with 300 gems and get the token bags, but now that you did that and see that you are worse off that if you had just purchased the chest, I think you would be foolish to repeat that experiment my friend.

          Since we are dealing with virtual currency there is absolutely no oversight with regards to what developers set their "chances" to as opposed to casinos where real money is placed in the machines. So, don't expect to ever get anything close to the number of items that any chest advertises, it's not gonna happen. You have better "odds" of being in a plane crash tomorrow than you do winning the advertised maximums in these chests. If you want to get a better idea of how "chance" plays into anything that costs gems, play the wheel game and watch how that wheel defies all logic. It's the drop rate that was predetermined and that is done the moment you spin that wheel, not where it ends up as with a casino. The spinning wheel is just a way to make you feel like the payout is even more random than the token bags you bought. I would assume that you haven't forged many pieces of gear yet with hammers other than the master hammers right? Please don't post after you have used up 32 hammers and haven't raised the gear one level even though the gauge at the bottom clearly shows that you have a 20% "chance" for success (1 in 5 right?, lol). That is not to say that you will not get a bone every now and then, they have to do that sometimes so that hopefully you will keep buying those bags instead of the chests with a guaranteed number of tokens, but it won't be close to the reward advertised.

          I have much better "odds" telling you that you will never win the maximum reward no matter how much you spend than you do winning that reward once before spending your whole paycheck (which is the whole point isn't it?).

          If you want "recompense", stop buying anything that says it has a chance to win something and expecting to win it. Support already has the reply to your ticket written and it will make you more frustrated, so don't even send it in, they laugh at those and any other tickets submitted regardless of how valid it is, their goal is to confuse the issue until you just drop it out of frustration.